September 30, 2012; Philadelphia, PA, USA; New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning (10) drops back to pass against the Philadelphia Eagles during third quarter action at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey G. Pittenger-US PRESSWIRE

Welcome to the 2nd quarter of the NFL including your survivor leagues. It’s been a crazy first four weeks of the season and if your still in your league the field is much thinner than it was when the season started due to all the upsets.  Last week my no brainers were 2-0 and I’ve only lost one no brainer game so far which eliminated a lot of  teams in week 2 when New England lost to the Arizona Cardinals.

When looking at your week 5 pick there is one game that stands out and it’s not the confidence I have in this team to win, but I do have a lot of confidence in the teams opposition to lose the game. The 2012 survivor league picks might as well be let’s see who the Cleveland Browns are playing this week.  This weeks tour of the mistake by the lake’s favorite team takes them to the Jim Hoffa’s remains site, the Meadowlands. The New York football Giants are proving themselves to be a 9-7 team again this season but playing the Browns is a bye week and an easy selection for survivor league.

NO BRAINER

New York Giants over Cleveland- Eli should make quick and easy work of this matchup.

Avoid The Herd Game

Cincy at home versus Miami- Thanks to Dan Carpenter the Phins are 1-3 instead of 3-1.  This game will be hard fought close game. Don’t miss it again Dan.

49ers vs Buffalo- This is the type of offense the Bills D can be succesful against.  The Bills offense could throw it all over the lot or get stuffed.  I would avoid this game.

On the Road with Little Confidence

Packers at Indy- The Packers should win this but there D hasn’t looked good except in Week 2. Luck could produce huge numbers and keep this game closer than it should be.

Confidence Leagues

After a .500 effort in Week 3 I came back strong in Week 4 going 12-3.  This week offers the same fun dilemnas as past weeks with no consistency out most teams as seen last night with the Cardinals pathetic offensive showing in St Louis.

Highly Confident (10-14)

1. Giants over Browns

2. Bears over Jacksonville

3. Baltimore over Chiefs

4. 49ers over Buffalo

5. Houston over Jets

Should Be Confident (6-9)

1. Cincy over Miami

2. Packers over Indy

3. Vikings over Titans

4. New England over Denver

Upset Specials! (2-5)

1. Eagles over Steelers

2. Carolina over Seattle

3. Chargers over New Orleans

4. Washington over Atlanta

Good Luck in week #5 survive, advance, and win some cash!

Sep 23, 2012; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Browns quarterback Brandon Weeden (3) passes the ball during the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Buffalo won 24-14. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-US PRESSWIRE

The NFL is upside down right now teams that are suppose to be good are losing to teams that are bad, and who would have thought the Saints would be 0-3 when they face the 1-2 Packers?  The New England Patriots are under five hundred for the first time since 2004.  The Cardinals are 3-0 for the first time ever??  Time to rethink and buckle down in both survivor and confidence leagues.  Don’t pick with 2010 goggles on, but pick with what you have seen the first 3 weeks.

Survivor League NO BRAINERS

-Baltimore over Cleveland- Thursday night cupcake for the Ravens

- Houston over Tennessee- Unless you are betting on another 6 crazy TD’s for the Titans this will be a W for the Texans

On The Road Survivor Gamble

- New England over Buffalo- Do you really think that Patriots can really lose 3 straight games?

- Cincinnati over Jacksonville- Can Bengals outscore Blaine Gabbert…. I would hope so

Should be More Confident But I’m not

- Cardinals over Miami- This should be a no brainer right?

- Atlanta over Carolina- Division games are never cupcakes in the NFC South

Confidence Leagues

I’m over my pathetic showing so far!  .500 is pathetic but it’s time to forget the past and focus on this week!

High Confidence (11-15)

1. Arizona over Miami

2. Baltimore over Cleveland

3. Houston over Tennessee

4. Atlanta over Carolina

5. Denver over Oakland

Confident (8-10)

1. Packers over Saints

2. Seattle over St Louis

3 Bengals over Jaguars

Tossup (5-7)

1. Chiefs over Chargers

2. 49ers over Jets

3. Washington over Tampa Bay

Upsets (1-4)

1. Chicago over Dallas

2. Vikings over Lions

3. Bills over Patriots

4. Eagles over Giants

Bye Weeks: Indy, Steelers

Good Luck, Survive, Advance and Win the Cash!!

Sep 16, 2012; Foxboro, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) removes his helmet during the first quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-US PRESSWIRE

Shank you very much Stephen Gostowski! His kick ended many survivor league participants season!  It was a very sad day for a lot of people when the Patriots offensive line couldn’t give Tom Brady enough time to dissect the Cardinals.  At one point Sunday the herd game really looked like the Giants until the Bucs forgot how to play defense in the 4th quarter until the Giants went for a kneel down!  If you’re  like me you didn’t put all your eggs in one basket, and you survived in a secondary (less monetary) survivor league by taking the Bengals over the Browns.  So whats next? The mapped out plan had the Saints in week #3 but there’s no way you can pick them right? But the Saints are playing the Chiefs who have been terrible! Here are Week#3 picks-

No-Brainer

1. There are absolutely zero no brainers this week  based on the first two weeks Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde NFL.

Confident But on the Road

1. NFC West Leading San Francisco 49ers vs Minnesota Vikings

2. Pittsburgh Steelers vs Oakland Raiders

Should Be More Confident But I’m Not

1. Chicago Bears vs St Louis Rams

2. Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Bucs

3. New Orleans Saints vs KC Chiefs

The parity that is the NFL has my confidence in confidence picks shaken but not stirred! Road teams lose a lot,so NOW I have it figured out after two weeks so after a very pathetic, to put it nicely 7 win week, here is this weeks confidence picks!

High Confidence (12-16)

1. Bears over Rams

2. 49ers over Vikings

3. Steelers over Raiders

4. Cowboys over Bucs

5. Saints over Chiefs

Confident (7-11)

1. Detroit over Titans

2. Colts over Jaguars

3. Redskins over Bengals

4. Ravens over Patriots

5. Texans over Broncos

Low Confident Upset Picks (3-6)

1. Cardinals over Eagles

2. Dolphins over Jets

3. Seahawks over Packers

Tossup (2-3)

1. Atlanta over San Diego

2. Bills over Browns

Good Luck in Week #3 Survive, Advance and win the cash!