Grading the Chicago Bears 2011 Draft


There’s a phenomena in statistics called Regression to the Mean.  Here’s the Wikipedia definition:

Regression toward the mean is the phenomenon that if a variable is extreme on its first measurement, it will tend to be closer to the average on a second measurement…

In terms of the Bears draft, I’ll apply it this way – when the Bears hit two home runs with their first two picks in Gabe Carimi and Stephen Paea – you knew they would come back the norm with their final three picks.

The 2011 draft will be deemed a success or failure largely on the first two selections, not necessarily the total of all the picks. Carimi and Paea fill their two biggest needs with two top level prospects.  Other areas that needed to be addressed – like linebacker, cornerback and more help on the offensive line – went largely ignored.

Curious selections of  safety Chris Conte and Idaho quarterback Nathan Enderle with consecutive picks in the 3rd and 5th rounds certainly raised questions among most fans given clear needs in other areas.

Jerry Angelo has found a few diamonds in the rough in the mid-to-later rounds, so you never know what he may have found with Conte, Enderle and 6th round pick JT Thomas.

In my view, I’ll grade the Bears with a B- grade.  They get an A for Rounds 1 and 2 and C-’s for Rounds 3, 5 and 6.

What grade do you give the Bears on their draft?

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Don’t just click the poll with a letter grade.  Speak your peace in the Comments below.  Trust me, you’ll feel better if you do.

BEAR DOWN!!!

 

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  • WIndy Cynic

    Boomer, I agree that the first two choices seem solid and at that point, I’d give Angelo and A. Of course, his bungle with the Ravens would pull that down to a B.

    Thats when it gets muddy. Angelo has not been able to find safeties and we filled that need last year with Wright. If Manning had been developed all along ( one high profile mistake shouldn’t cast doubt), we’d be set at safety now that Harris is home. I don’t like this pick because I don’t trust Angelo.

    Hanie is our back up QB. He deserves that chance and played well under tough circumstances. Why pick another QB so late? We have line issues and bodies mean competition.

    Should have spent the last part of the draft on bodies for the trenches and let the competition play out.

    As it stands, his first two picks should be starters and that’s pretty damn good considering who our brain trust is.

  • DHunter

    I don’t mind parting with our 4th Round pick to move up and get Paea as he and Carimi should make both immediate and long term impacts. I also don’t mind the Enderle pick up because I think this cements Hanie as our #2. If Hanie didn’t get hurt in the preseason last year, we would not have had to endure the Todd Collins debacle.(Also, don’t be surprised to see the Bears eventually sign Hanie to a couple of years in hopes of trading him next year for a late round pick.)

    But once free agency finally comes into play, I think we are going to see the Bears be very active in bringing in undrafted guys as well as a couple FA’s to fill holes on the O-line, at LB and WR’s. Definitely nowhere near the Peppers signing but 2-3 nice FA’s plus Kruetz, Roach and possibly Manning.

  • G-DUB

    I agree, the first two picks r great. But we could of took Clint Bolling for an guard instead of the safety. We should be gatting younger on the line with quality players, stop reaching and get real players, not players with talent.

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  • stewartmaria33

    Bang, T’was a great post… I agree that the first two choices seem solid and at that point,

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  • stewartmaria33

    Bang, T’was a great post… I agree that the first two choices seem solid and at that point,

    http://bettingpro.com/bookmaker/Bet365/