Top NFL Picks Against the Apread: Handicapping Week 16: Weekend


If I had a sister, I would’ve been kissing her quite a bit this year, which is really only accepted in the south.  Ok, I’m kidding!  I had another 500 day, but it is always better than being under. I tried to go the over/under route last week and it didn’t work out exceptionally well, but I have a feeling that my games wouldn’t have either.  I won a couple weekly fantasy leagues, so that was good, especially since I’m out of a year-long league.  I was surprised to see Washington put up so many points against Cleveland last week which totally messed up my over call on that one.  The Miami/Jacksonville game was a sleeper which I correctly anticipated.  I didn’t think the Bears would pull it off last week and I was correct, but I did feel as if some more points would be scored.  Regardless, that was just a frustrating game on so many different levels, so I’d rather not rehash it and get on to the business at hand, winning some games this week:

PICK 3:

Buffalo Bills +4.5 @ Miami -Buffalo was absolutely embarrassed last week by Seattle giving up a total of 50.  When a team lays an egg like that, the betting public often jumps against them the following week.  In a division game of two poor teams, I always like taking the points.

New England -14  @ Jacksonville -earlier in the season, I would’ve been more afraid to give up 14 – especially after the Patriots let the Cardinals beat them at home.  However, the Patriots have once again rounded up just in time for the playoffs and their defense has gotten better.  As always, they love running up the score too.

Eagles +6.5 vs Washington - Washington has become a hot commodity for the public and the Eagles are supposed to be packing up after a difficult season.  That 6.5 point sure sucks you into taking the Redskins doesn’t it?  All they have to do is win by a touchdown.  I don’t like it.  The Eagles put up a fight against their division rival before going into the off-season.

UPSET SPECIAL

New Orleans +3 @ Dallas - I don’t know why I just can never pick Dallas to win a game – especially at home.  The Saints to me still are a very dangerous team and they go into Dallas and play the role of spoiler.  Drew Brees has let me down before this season as my pick, not on Sunday.

THE BELOVED

Bears -6 @ Arizona – if not now, when?  If not the Bears, then whom? If you can’t go to AZ and win by 6, I don’t want to watch the last game and I could care less what the other NFC teams do.  Go play the damn game and show up!

LAST WEEK:  Pick 3:  1-2     Beloved:  1-0   

SEASON:    Pick  3:   20-21-1     Upset Special:  6-6-1      Beloved:  7-6-1   Thursday Night 4-3-2  =  37-36-5

Next Bears Game View full schedule »
Sunday, Sep 77 Sep1:00Buffalo BillsBuy Tickets
Dick's Sporting Goods presents "Hell Week":

Tags: Chicago Bears Gambling Week 12