Fantasy Football Week 14: Start’em / Sit’em
Last week: 18-14-1: Season: 151-112-38
Week 13 Recap: After two consecutive weeks off breaking even I’m back in the black. Not by much, but I’m take it. As usual my Sit’em picks were more accurate as I hit on 5 of my 6 RB sits. Spiller was a surprise, but he’s still only playing around a third of the Bills offensive snaps (24/66), so I wouldn’t expect consistent good weeks until he is on the field at least half of the time. I missed five of my six WR starts as guys like Burleson, Cooper, Steve J, and D-Bowe under-performed.
With most leagues heading into the playoffs, you probably have a pretty stable roster by now if your still alive, but if you have a tough decision on who to start keep reading.
Note: Only players started in less than 75% of Yahoo leagues will be listed in Start’em section. These recommendations are for players you may be on the fence about that I think will over (Start) or under (Sit) perform their projections (Yahoo).
Start’em
QB:
Tony Romo @CHI (64%, 17): The Bears defense is not just bad against the run. Matt Cassel threw for 243 yards in one half last Sunday. Matt f’n Cassel. I’m expecting a huge game from Romo on Monday night.
Russell Wilson @SF (58%, 18): Don’t bet against Russell right now. He has been on a tear lately and has thrown for at least 2 TDs in his last six games. Three of those six games were against solid defenses, so don’t let the match-up scare you away.
Josh McCown DAL (26%,20): He’s averaged 353 yards and 2 TDs the last two games and this week he gets to play against the worst defense in the NFL. I’m in.
RB:
Le’Veon Bell MIA (58%,16): He’s had more success running the ball the last two weeks (just under 4 YPC) and gets Miami’s 25th ranked run defense Sunday. Look for his mini streak to continue.
Steven Jackson @GB (52%,12): The Packers can’t stop anybody right now and S-Jax has looked more explosive the last two weeks. He also has 3 TDs over the last two games and should get another one this week.
Danny Woodhead NYG (48%,9): He only has three games all year with less than 10 fantasy points. Unfortunately 2 of them were in the last 3 weeks. I think Woodhead will be back to his usual productive self this week.
Montee Ball TEN (16%.8): Came up big in week 13 (13-117) and I think his role will expand as the Broncos rest Moreno more down the stretch. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Ball get close to 20 touches this week.
Donald Brown @CIN (20%,11): He’s officially the starter in Indy now and should get enough touches to easily reach double-digit fantasy points.
WR:
Keenan Allen NYG (71%,13): Has 22 targets over the last two weeks and has established himself as Rivers’ #1 WR.
Harry Douglas @GB (60%,13): Has exceeded his projected point total in 7 of the last 8 games and I think he’ll do it again this week against a Packers defense that gave up 561 yards last week.
Michael Floyd STL (52%, 11): Averaging 6 catches (on 9 targets) and 99 yards over the last three games. The Rams secondary can be thrown on and I’m expecting a big day from Floyd.
Riley Cooper DET (42%, 11): Hasn’t scored a TD the last two weeks but his targets are consistent over the last five. The Lions #2 CB, Darius Slay, has really struggled this year¹ and Cooper should be open often this week.
Kendall Wright @DEN (40%, 12): Has at least 6 catches for 77 yards in the last four games. Very consistent this year and the Titans will have to throw to keep up with the Broncos.
TE:
Greg Olsen @NO (74%,9): Averaging 8 targets per game over the last 3 weeks and has scored in 2 of his last 3 games.
Delanie Walker @DEN (15%,10): After three weeks in a row with at least 8 targets per game, Walker was forgotten about last week vs the Colts (2 targets). The Titans are playing the Broncos this week who have given up the 2nd most points to TEs this season and they will need to pass to keep up. I think Walker will go back to being a big part of the their offense this week.
Ladarius Green NYG (10%, 7): Has scored a TD the last two games and has at least 5 targets in the last three. He also played 61 of the Chargers 67 snaps last week. I’m starting Green in every league I have him this week.