The start of the NFL season is right around the corner. In fact, the first game of the season, the Hall of Fame Game, is less than a week away. For a lot of you degenerates out there, you can stop betting baseball or summer league hoops and get back to betting football. Bovada.lv has posted their season over/under totals for all 32 NFL teams and one team is getting a lot of one-sided action:
“NFL win totals continues to take more money than any other future market we have up right now for the NFL and a few teams are really standing out as popular bets. The Chicago Bears over 8.5 has taken over 95 percent of the money but we are comfortable holding the number at 8.5, especially in a pretty competitive division,” said Kevin Bradley, Sportsbook Manager, Bovada.lv.
95% of the action on the over??? It sounds like 8.5 wins is a little low. Keep in mind, Vegas isn’t setting point spreads and lines based on what they necessarily believe to be the actual outcome of the game or the actual win total as much as they’re trying to get even money on both sides of the action. A losing bet pays “juice” of a couple percent, so the house still wins if they can equal bets on the over and the under.
The scary thing for Bears fans is that those palatial casinos weren’t built on winners. Does Vegas know something we don’t? Are Bears fans, whose team hasn’t made the playoffs since 2010, going into the season a little overconfident?
Seeing as how 95% of the action is going on the over, it made me wonder, “where should they set the OVER/UNDER to get even money on both sides of the action?” Vote in our poll below.