Is Jay Cutler poised for a Breakout Season?


It’s starting to get to be that slow time of the offseason, so there’s no better time for die-hard Fantasy Football players to start dusting off last year’s mock drafts and 2009 stat sheets to start figuring out who the stars of the 2010 season will be.’s Michael Fabiano posted his list of breakout stars and first on their list was Chicago Bears QB Jay Cutler.  Let’s see what he had to say:

"Jay Cutler, QB, BearsCutler isn’t a traditional breakout candidate, as he actually broke out in 2008 before seeing a major decrease in fantasy production last season. His numbers should rise again, however, as Cutler will now hold the reins of an offense led by pass-happy coordinator Mike Martz. In fact, the strong-armed quarterback from Vanderbilt should throw for 4,000-plus yards and finish with around 25-30 total touchdowns."

Others on Fabiano’s list include running backs Cedric Benson, Jamaal Charles, Shonn Greene, Leshon McCoy, Rashard Mendenhall and Knowshon Moreno.  His potential breakout wide receivers include Vincent and DeSean Jackson and Green Bay tight end Jermichael Finley.

I don’t know how serious you are about Fantasy Football, but none of those guys should really be sneaking up on anyone as big surprises for the upcoming season.

I really hope he’s right about Cutler.  One thing that the post doesn’t take into account are Cutler’s interceptions.  If your league subtracts points for INT’s, you may want to think again.

On the plus side, a full offseason working with the receivers should help develop some chemistry between JC and his targets.  We also know that despite what Lovie Smith may try to tell you, Mike Martz will come out gunning.   Gone is Ron Turner’s all-too predictable offense.

On the down side, the Bears receiving corp lacks a legit #1 target.  The closest is probably Devin Aromashodu, but his body of work is extremely limited.  Knox is a plus with great speed and lots of upside while Hester in the slot could be “stupid good.”  If Mike Tice can help shore up the offensive line and give Cutler some time, Jay might just live up to those lofty expectations.