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Last week: 30-8-2, Season: 201-92-32 (69%)
Fantasy Football Week 9 Picks Recap:
I’m on a roll lately with 76% of my picks over the last three weeks being on target. Last week was my second best ever (79%) in my almost three years writing this column for BGO with both my start’em (17-5-1) and sit’em (13-3-1) picks on the money.
My best start’em picks were DeAngelo Williams (+24), Delanie Walker (+23), and Tyler Eifer (+19) who should all be in your lineup every week regardless of match-up. Most of my misses were close except for Eddie Lacy (-11) and Ronnie Hillman (-10), both of whom I am going to avoid playing the rest of the way if possible. It’s hard to win with a zero spot in your lineup and both players are just too inconsistent right now.
I was way off on Cam Newton (+14) and Jordan Matthews (+13) last week. Newton’s fantasy production finally caught up with his real-life success and Matthews had his first good fantasy line in almost two months. Most of my sit’em successes were the usual suspects like Wallace (-7), Cameron (-7), Morris (-6), Gordon (-6), and Ginn (-7). Stop starting these guys.
Fantasy Football Week 10 Picks:
Note: Only players started in less than 75% of Yahoo leagues will be eligible for the start’em category. The purpose of this column is advice on players that might not be every week starters. I’ll usually list at least one “Deep Sleeper” pick for players started in less than 10% of Yahoo leagues who I think are under-projected.
If you have questions about specific players, hit me up on Twitter or in the comment section and I will get back to you before this weekends games. Good luck in your fantasy match-ups this week and go Bears!
Start’em
Quarterback
Derek Carr, MIN (49%, 19) – It’s not a great match-up, but the way Carr is playing right now it doesn’t really matter. Over his last three games Carr has thrown 11 TDs with just one INT despite two tough road games and a match-up with the once elite Jets secondary. Carr is a must start for me moving forward.
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Blake Bortles, @BAL (31%, 19) – One of this year’s fantasy surprises, Bortles has over 20 fantasy points in four of his last five starts and is facing an awful Ravens secondary this week. I’m starting him in a couple of leagues as my Rivers bye replacement.
Marcus Mariota, CAR (13%, 15) – Not an ideal match-up, but Mariota is coming off a 4 TD game and looked more comfortable under the Titans new coaching staff. I’m not expecting a repeated of last week’s 35 fantasy points, but I’ll think he’ll crush his projected 15 at least.
Jameis Winston, DAL (12%, 13) – Has gone four games without throwing an interception and has passed the eye test the last few games. Winston should have had a more impressive stat line last week but was victimized by drops including six from top-target Mike Evans. I haven’t been impressed with the Cowboys secondary recently (except rookie Byron Jones) and I think Winston will throw 2 TDs at least and should get you around 20 fantasy points this week.
Next: Start'em: Running Back