Patrick Mahomes II: College offense
There’s no other way around it, 41 passing touchdowns in a season simply jumps off the page. 6 passing performances over 400 yards and at least 4 touchdowns sounds more like a game of Madden than college football. Patrick Mahomes’ gaudy numbers will put him on every draft board, but the offense which was so kind to Mahomes in college will do him little good in the pros.
Remember when Johnny Manziel took football by storm a few years ago? He could sling the ball, scramble with the best of them, and put up tons of points. However, the NFL provided a rude awakening with complex defenses along with bigger, better, faster, and stronger defenders. Sprint options were quickly snuffed out, and scrambles quickly became sacks. Mahomes will face a similar adjustment to the NFL.
While teams in the NFL are spreading it out more than ever before, 5 receiver sets are still a rarity. Even more rare are receivers running wide open down the field. Mahomes’ highlight reel features great deep balls, but also a number of busted coverages. Can Mahomes sling the ball down field? Absolutely. Can he run a true NFL offense with a complicated NFL defense staring him in the face? I sure wouldn’t bet the 3rd overall pick on it.