Predicting Chicago Bears 2018 Draft Position

Chicago Bears (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Chicago Bears (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

Since it’s already time to look ahead to 2018, let’s examine where the Bears are going to be drafting.

The Chicago Bears are officially playing for pride. Sure, the Bears aren’t mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. They need about 30 things to happen specifically for them to get in, including winning 5 straight games to end the season. Being we all know that’s an impossibility, let’s look at where the Bears are going to be drafting.

Honestly assessing the Bears schedule, there are plenty of winnable games between San Francisco, Cleveland, and even Cincinnati, but the fact is no one can assume the Bears can win all these games. With that many struggling teams, the Bears aren’t going to lose out. But they aren’t going to win 3 or 4 games either. For argument’s sake, let’s say the Bears finish 5-11. That’s a reasonable thought.

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The Cleveland Browns sit at 0-11. The San Francisco 49ers sit at 1-10. The New York Giants sit at 2-9. Afer that, the Bears are tied with the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts at 3-8.

Even if the Bears lose out, the Cleveland Browns are going to be hard-pressed to win three games. Yes, if the Bears lost out, that would include a loss to Cleveland, but Cleveland would still have to win two more games out of their remaining four. Being they’ve only won 1 game in their last 27, that’s hard to imagine.

The Giants have benched Eli Manning and seem to be spiraling into obscurity. It’s hard to imagine a scenario where the Bears sink below the Giants in the overall standings. Jimmy Garoppolo will give the 49ers their best chance to win, but if the Bears finish at 5-11, the Niners would have to win 4 of their last 5. Not happening.

So at this point, the Bears are looking at the fourth pick, best case scenario. The cluster after the third pick is going to be between the Bears, Tampa Bay, Denver, Indianapolis, Houston, Miami and the Jets. If the Bears are looking at the fourth pick with the best case, that means 10 is the worst case scenario.

Tampa is struggling but Jameis Winston returns this week, the Jets have been surprisingly competitive this season, both teams seemingly are headed for 6 or more wins.

Miami has really struggled, but they are getting healthier. The Bears main competition for that fourth pick will probably be between Denver, Indianapolis and Houston. The good news is all these AFC teams play each other. Denver plays Miami, the Jets and the Colts. Indy and Houston play each other to end the season. By default, some of these teams are going to pick up wins.

Denver seems to be collapsing, so let’s call them the fourth pick. Houston and Indy will be formidable competition with the amount of holes in their team. So, with a very scientific method, let’s split the difference on those two and after crunching the numbers and the schedule:

The Chicago Bears will have the sixth pick in the 2018 draft.