2018 Fantasy Projection: QB Mitch Trubisky

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - DECEMBER 31: Mitchell Trubisky
MINNEAPOLIS, MN - DECEMBER 31: Mitchell Trubisky /

What can Fantasy Football owners expect from Mitch Trubisky this season?

From a fantasy perspective, Mitch Trubisky’s rookie season was a dud. In 12 games, Trubisky threw for 2193 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions. He did give the few fantasy owners who played him a nice bump in points from a running perspective where Trubisky amassed 248 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.

The bottom line, Trubisky wasn’t a player you could start at quarterback in 2017, but that wasn’t a surprise, coming out of college, Trubisky had very little experience and wasn’t going to be an instant success. But this isn’t 2017, it’s 2018, and Trubisky will be, without a doubt, better than he was as a rookie, the question is, how much?

Trubisky was improving last season. Let’s look at his first four games vs his last four games. Trubisky’s first four games he threw for 512 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs. In his last four games? He threw 2 TDs and 3 INTs, but his yardage jumped from 512 to 956. His completion percentage jumped from 48% to 66%. The improvement was there. Will it continue? There’s no reason to think it won’t.

With Matt Nagy in as head coach, the Chicago Bears have spent the entire offseason putting Trubisky in a place to succeed. They added weapons (Trey Burton, Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel), they added help in the draft with two second round picks (G James Daniels, WR Anthony Miller) and they have put an all-star offensive coaching staff around him. There’s almost no chance that Trubisky doesn’t improve this season, but does he improve enough to be worth a fantasy spot?

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Nagy’s offense is going to be predicated on the idea that Trubisky will be making fast reads and getting the ball out quickly and put his receivers in a place to have solid yardage after the catch. With the numbers that Trubisky put up his last four games combined with more talent around him and an offense that is going to gain more yards by default, Trubisky is going to improve.

In your standard 12-team league, Trubisky is still not going to be counted on to be a fantasy starter, but Trubisky should be counted on to be a solid fantasy QB2 this season. A second-year QB is still going to throw too many interceptions and because the offense is growing, the touchdowns will increase substantially, but not make a significant impact on your fantasy stat line. But the one thing that Trubisky will also bring the table is his ability to run. The fact that Trubisky can also give you probably 30 yards on the ground each game and a few scores, will catapult Mitch into solid QB2 category this season.

Mitch Trubisky Stat Projections: 3800 yards, 23 TDs, 14 INTs, 460 rushing yards, 5 TDs.