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Chicago Bears: Three reasons to believe in Mitch Trubisky

By Parker Hurley

CHICAGO, IL - SEPTEMBER 17: Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky #10 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass in the first quarter against the Seattle Seahawks at Soldier Field on September 17, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
CHICAGO, IL - SEPTEMBER 17: Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky #10 of the Chicago Bears throws a pass in the first quarter against the Seattle Seahawks at Soldier Field on September 17, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /
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KANSAS CITY, MO – SEPTEMBER 23: Head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs and head coach Kyle Shanahan of the San Francisco 49ers speak after the game at midfield at Arrowhead Stadium on September 23rd, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO – SEPTEMBER 23: Head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs and head coach Kyle Shanahan of the San Francisco 49ers speak after the game at midfield at Arrowhead Stadium on September 23rd, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images) /

New Offenses Take Time

I get it. Sean McVay takes Jared Goff from hot garbage to the playoffs, and we all assume this happens overnight. However, in most cases, that does not occur. McVay is an exception, not the rule, and it seems as though he is looking like a massive outlier regarding how exceptional he is as a coach.

Matt Nagy can be a great coach and can win a Super Bowl, but that does not mean that he and Trubisky have to click as fast as McVay and Goff. What if they click as fast as Matt Ryan and Kyle Shanahan? That took until year two to click.

From year one to two Matt Ryan increased his completion percentage by 5%, his touchdown rate by 2.5%, yards per attempt by 1.8 yards, his QB rating went up 24, and his interception rate went down 1%.

This is not rare for Shanahan, who has a complicated playbook. Even Matt Schaub saw similar increases from year to year two in the Shanahan offense.

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Carson Wentz was drafted into his particular offense, but it was still his second full season in that offense when he saw a jump. Alex Smith saw a 5% increase in completion percentage with growth in yards per attempt and decline in interception rate in his second season with the Chiefs. Even though Patrick Mahomes did not play last year, this is his second season with the verbiage and understanding of this particular playbook. These are the most comparable offenses to the Nagy offense.

All of this is to say that panicking at this point seems like a bit of a quick trigger. Instead, the idea should be to learn, and understand what areas he will need to improve on, and how the coaching staff is working on improving them. The Chicago Bears are not looking to upgrade or bench Trubisky anytime soon.

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