Mitch Trubisky will be key for the Chicago Bears to handle to heavy favorite status that Vegas has bestowed upon them.
The Chicago Bears opened as a 6-point favorite against the New York Jets this week. As the bets poured in, that number has risen all the way to 7.5. Everyone is expecting the Bears to win this game, and win it by two scores.
The Jets and Bears have similar records, but the Jets have several injuries that are hampering the team and a rookie quarterback prone to turnovers. The Bears may have three losses, but they’ve lost by one score in each. Despite a 3-3 record, the Bears are still fifth in the NFL in point differential, just to give you an idea of how close their fortunes are to being different.
There are plenty of things that can help propel the Bears to victory. Pressuring Sam Darnold is a perfect way to do it, but even if the pass rush struggles, there is no certainty that Darnold will perform.
Jordan Howard could be poised to breakout against the Jets defense, that although their yards per game stats are in the middle of the pack, they allow over four yards per carry and with a banged up defense, Howard could break out of his slump. But if he doesn’t, does that doom the Bears? No.
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The key to this game is Mitch Trubisky who needs to put together another game similar to the one he had in Tampa to prove that his game is progressing more in that direction, than that it was a fluke.
The Jets defense is a middle of the road defense that has several injuries that should make it pretty porous. Trubisky arguably had his two greatest games of his career against Tampa and the Miami Dolphins, but had accuracy trouble against the New England Patriots.
The best thing that can be said about Trubisky’s performance against New England is that his accuracy isn’t usually an issue, reading and making the proper throw is. Trubisky read the Patriots defense well for most of the day, if his accuracy was better, he could have had an incredible day. As it was, despite his struggles, he still amassed 400 yards of offense and three scores.
If Trubisky is on his game, the Jets simply won’t have a chance. The Bears defense, despite not being more than average the last couple weeks, is still a strong unit and even if they don’t terrorize Sam Darnold, it’ll be hard-pressed to imagine Darnold being able to light up this unit.
If Trubisky gets the offense rolling and can score up around 31 points again, the Jets offense won’t be able to compete and the Bears should win by two scores.
Trubisky needs to continue to read defenses well, he needs to be accurate with his delivery, hurt the Jets with his legs when the opportunity presents itself and show confidence in what he’s doing with the plays and throws he’s making.
These next two games (Buffalo to follow) should bode well for Trubisky. Even if he plays well, the Mitch-doubters will just claim it’s because those teams are bad, but even if he plays well against good teams, the doubters will just say the other team didn’t execute. The hate is going to be there either way so it’s important to trust your eyes.
Trubisky has a big chance here against New York, don’t be surprised if Mitch throws for 300 yards this week and accounts for three touchdowns.
The Bears should win this week, and win big.
Final Score Prediction: Chicago Bears 34, New York Jets 17