Landon Collins contract inflates Adrian Amos’ ceiling
The Washington Redskins have given Landon Collins a massive contract. How will that affect Adrian Amos?
The start of NFL free agency is always wild. Teams need to strike early for the top free agents so they can fit the second and third wave of players around the massive deals they struck early.
The Bears have only ever really gotten in on the “first wave” in one season under Pace and that was last year when they inked Allen Robinson and Trey Burton early in the free agent process.
This year’s first wave is seeing massive deals. Kwon Alexander received 4 years and $54 million from the San Francisco 49ers. Trey Flowers was inked by the Detroit Lions for roughly a 5-year deal up around $80 or $85 million. And then the Washington Redskins jumped in on Landon Collins.
Sources: Former #Giants star S Landon Collins is signing a 6-year deal for a whopping $84M with the rival #Redskins. Hard to imagine a box safety with this kind of deal after last year’s slow safety market. This moves the market dramatically.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) March 11, 2019
Not only did Collins get an $84 million, but he got a whopping $45 million guaranteed which blows the previous record out of the water for a safety ($30 million for Eric Berry).
Collins was going to receive the top contract among safeties in this free agent class but he does have some holes in his game. Other free agent safeties are going to be looking for contracts cascading down from Collins money.
Collins was expected to get something in the realm of 5 years and around $60 or $65 million. With this contract swelling to the size it did, this could make the market for Adrian Amos much higher than expected.
The Bears aren’t about to pay Amos $8, $9 or $10 million per season. There were rumors that Amos was looking for 4 years and $40 million from the Bears originally and that more recently his request had been cut to $32 million over four, which is still too steep for Chicago.
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With the Collins contract what it is, the odds that Amos gets something in the $8-$10 million range per year has jumped considerably and if that’s the case, Amos won’t be returning to Chicago.
If someone really overpays for Amos, the Bears could receive a fourth, maybe even a third round comp pick which would could greatly help Chicago in 2020. If the Bears sign a safety who was previously released from their team (think Tashaun Gipson), that won’t decrease the Bears comp pick status from losing Amos.
The market on Bryce Callahan is still questionable due to some of his previous injuries but the market for Amos seems to be on the rise, and if that’s the case, especially knowing that the Bears will need to extend Eddie Jackson next offseason, there is little to no chance Amos returns to Chicago.