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Mitch Trubisky: 2019 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

By Bill Zimmerman

SANTA CLARA, CA - DECEMBER 23: Mitchell Trubisky #10 of the Chicago Bears warms up prior to their game prior against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium on December 23, 2018 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
SANTA CLARA, CA - DECEMBER 23: Mitchell Trubisky #10 of the Chicago Bears warms up prior to their game prior against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium on December 23, 2018 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /
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How will Mitch Trubisky perform for fantasy football owners in 2019?

Mitch Trubisky made major strides on the football field in 2018. From a fantasy football perspective, Trubisky went from a non factor in 2017 to a high QB2, low QB1 in 2018.

Trubisky finished around 15th (depending on scoring) among QBs last season, but that includes the fact that he missed two games due to injury. If you look at Trubisky from a fantasy points per game perspective, he averaged 20 points per game which was good for 10th. That includes trailing Ryan Fitzpatrick who had a couple big games and only had 6 games, thus the high PPG average.

The question about Mitch Trubisky is can he make the jump in 2019 to firmly plant himself as a fantasy football QB1. To do so, he is going to have to be firmly planted in the top 8 this season.

Can he do that? The answer is: absolutely.

There are plenty of Trubisky haters out there, so when you draft Trubisky as your QB1, prepare for some laughs. There will be some guys in your league that mock you for the decision, but you’ll have the last laugh.

First of all, Trubisky’s legs cannot be underestimated. Those rushing yards and rushing TDs will be a big benefit for you. Trubisky gained 420 yards on the ground and 3 rushing TDs last year. That’s 60 points that pocket QBs aren’t earning you.

Trubisky also enters a second season under Matt Nagy. Traditionally QBs in Andy Reid systems have big jumps in their second years in the system. See Patrick Mahomes, Carson Wentz and Alex Smith.

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While Trubisky does use his legs, he’s pretty adept at avoiding big hits. He did miss two games last season from an injury he suffered when he was hit, but that was a late hit in the Minnesota Vikings game. He rarely suffers any kind of major contact when in the heat of the play.

That means you have a quarterback that’s mobile but isn’t a major injury risk. That’s a huge plus in fantasy football.

Trubisky has the chance to take a significant jump. Last season in 14 games Trubisky threw for 3200 yards, 24 TDs with 12 INTs. That was in 14 games, that projected over 16 games, those numbers jump to 3700 yards, 27 TDs and 13 INTs. If we can project a 15% increase in efficiency, which is more than attainable based on what previous quarterbacks have done in the second year of the Reid system, that would make Trubisky not only a viable QB1, but potentially a top 5 fantasy quarterback.

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The best move for Trubisky owners is to get a reliable veteran as your QB2 (think Philip Rivers or Matthew Stafford) and roll the dice on Trubisky as your QB1. You should be able to select him with pretty good value on his draft position and if he does make a sizeable jump, Trubisky could be the guy that launches you into the fantasy football playoffs.

Mitch Trubisky 2019 stat projections- 4300 yards, 31 TDs, 11 INTs, 350 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs

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