Chicago Bears Over/Under: 110 tackles for Danny Trevathan
Is 110 tackles a reasonable amount for Chicago Bears linebacker Danny Trevathan?
As the offseason has progressed, we have been going through the Chicago Bears over/under projections on stats and one theme has typically stood out. For the most part, Mike Clay of ESPN is a bit down on the Chicago Bears offense.
He sees a plateau for Mitch Trubisky and it has effects on the rest of the offense. He has been up and down on the defense as well. However, one projection that does seem to about right come with Danny Trevathan.
Clay has Trevathan down for 110 tackles in 2019. For Trevathan, this would mean a big season.
For his career, Trevathan has gone over 110 tackles just once, in 2013, when he recorded a ridiculous 152 tackles in a single season. However, that was a while ago, and with a Denver defense.
In Chicago, Trevathan has slowly grown as a performer adding 69 tackles in his first year, 83 the following year and 102 last season next to Roquan Smith.
With that in mind, there are a couple of ways to look at his progression. The first idea is that he has grown every single season with the team, and he has rotated his other MLB each season. Now, Smith is back again and Trevathan should be the most comfortable he has been in three years.
His progression should only continue, which makes 110 reasonable.
The other way to look at it is that he may have hit his peak with the Bears defense last season. He called plays while a rookie Roquan Smith learned the ropes. Last year it was Trevathan’s defense, but this year Smith will lead the group.
Trevathan may see a dip in the role, and Clay also seems to have Trevathan with added tackles because he does not believe in the offense. Clay has consistently projected the offense low which means that they are not on the field as much as the season before.
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This means Trevathan is on the field more and is racking up more tackles. However, if the offense is to improve, it may mean fewer tackles only based on less opportunity than before.
Trevathan will still get his, and should finish near 100 tackles. However, the emergence of Smith, along with the offense taking a step forward could easily lead to a decline or plateau from the year before.