The Chicago Bears need to draft BPA with pick 43.
The Chicago Bears mock drafts are again all over the place due to the Khalil Mack trade that cost them their 2020 first-round pick. At least the Bears are armed with two top 50 draft selections. There has been constant pressure that Ryan Pace needs to trade back. That would allow Ryan Pace to have multiple Day 3 picks early and likely moving to a late day two option.
While I agree that Ryan Pace needs to trade back, it takes two to make a deal. Ryan Pace should not look for a trade partner as much as he should take one on when the offer comes his way. It should, however, be with the 50th overall selection and not he 43rd pick. Here is why.
The 43rd overall selection was acquired during the dealings of the Khalil Mack trade. Using that pick to move back not only lowers the talent pool of the Mack trade, but it also turns the value of the Mack trade into something much lesser.
Thanks to the Las Vegas Raiders record, they now sit in a prime draft selection to grab a first-round talent that will fall. Between Josh Jones, Kristian Fulton, Grant Delpit, Laviska Shenault Jr. Tee Higgins, Jalen Reagor, Trevon Diggs, Denzel Mims, Jaylon Johnson, Brandon Aiyuk, and Netane Muti, one of those talents will fall to the Bears at the 43rd overall selection.
In a typical draft without a more significant amount of top tier talent at receiver and offensive tackle, we would have likely seen these guys drafted well before the 43rd overall pick. That is also not including the edge rushers that I feel will be available.
The Chicago Bears must stay at the 43rd overall pick and select the best player available. So what to do with the 50th overall selection? There may still be a few of those prospects left and convenient for the Bears at 50 as well, but the bears might not love any of these prospects and could acquire some decent day tree draft capital.
Using Robert Knights 2015 Dallas Cowboys draft chart, the Bears could trade down from 50 to 55 and gain around 40 draft points. That is the equivalency to an early pick in round five or two mid-round picks in round six.
A perfect hall could be moving from 50 to 68, which the New Your Jets hold. That trade would net the Bears 250 points. That example would be stacking the Jets fourth, fifth, and both sixth-round picks would come close to covering it.
However, no team would want to be down that much drat capital. That’s why future draft picks come into play. The Jets do have another third-rounder this year. If they felt the need to move up to get someone, they could offer both third-round selections. Since 79 is worth 195 points, the Jets would need to come up with 55 more points. That just happens to be what the jets fourth-round selection at 120th overall is worth.
With this move, Chicago could end up with 43, 68,79,120,163,196,200,233. That would put the Chicago Bears at eight draft picks. That’s also a completely fair trade value based on the 2015 Cowboys chart. Some team comes out ahead one way or another during these trades. Could it be the Chicago Bears?