What value could Chicago Bears wide receiver Allen Robinson bring to your fantasy team in 2020?
The Chicago Bears are my passion, but for a long time my secondary passion surrounding football was fantasy football. Going forward, at this point in the year I am going to start running through players on the Chicago Bears roster and explain what round the player should be drafted, the player’s ceiling value, the player’s floor value and for dynasty fantasy leagues if the player is a buy low or sell high candidate.
When it comes to rankings and fantasy data, I will be using FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and FFToday with half-point scoring.
2020 Outlook
The Chicago Bears offense is going to be a bit of a mystery this year. In 2018, the Bears went 12-4 on the year but Allen Robinson did not have the best of fantasy seasons. In 13 games, he averaged 9.8 points per game and finished as the WR35.
Last season the team went 8-8 but Robinson’s value skyrocketed. He was 10th overall in total points scored and 14th overall in points per week. With the quarterback competition between Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles brewing, most will probably shy away from Robinson despite whoever throws him the ball this year mattering little in the grand scheme of things for him.
I fully expect a more productive and better season from the Bears offense as a whole this year.
Target Round
FantasyPros has Allen Robinson ranked as the No. 9 wide receiver heading into 2020. This is actually higher than I expected based on the national media hatred of the Bears and the fact the offense is one of the only offenses in the league with a quarterback controversy.
Overall, Robinson’s ECR is 24th. This means, in a 12-team league, Robinson should be viewed as a late second-round or early third-round pick. Other receivers going off the board around the same time include Amari Cooper, Odell Beckam, Jr. and JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Ceiling Value
Robinson may have reached his ceiling value last year. He had a breakout season in Jacksonville earlier in his career, but I do not see that type of season happening again for him. He finished with 14 touchdowns that year. Last season Robison came down with seven touchdowns.
Although I do not see Robinson ever being the WR1 in a mysterious Chicago Bears offense, he has a ceiling value as a top-five wide receiver.
Floor Value
Looking at how often Robinson was targeted by Mitchell Trubisky in 2019 as opposed to 2018, one must wonder if he will see that number of targets again. Last year, Robinson saw 154 targets opposed to 94 in 2018. The 154 targets fall more in line with his two best seasons in Jacksonville when he saw 151 targets each year.
Injuries aside, Robinson has a floor value of WR30. I cannot see him falling outside of the top 30 wide receivers in 2020.
Buy Low, Sell High or Hold
If you own Robinson in a dynasty league, he is not worth selling right now as his value is likely to never be higher. He also is not a buy-low candidate because he is being valued almost perfectly. Robinson is a hold only option in my opinion.