Chicago Bears: Anthony Miller’s 2020 fantasy football value

As the Chicago Bears 2020 season approaches, where does Anthony Miller’s fantasy football value stand?

The Chicago Bears are my passion, but for a long time my secondary passion surrounding football was fantasy football. Going forward, at this point in the year I am going to start running through players on the Chicago Bears roster and explain what round the player should be drafted, the player’s ceiling value, the player’s floor value and for dynasty fantasy leagues if the player is a buy low or sell high candidate.

When it comes to rankings and fantasy data, I will be using FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and FFToday with half-point scoring.

2020 Outlook

Just like every single offensive player, the outlook for 2020 has to be better than what transpired in 2019. Mitchell Trubisky and Anthony Miller seem to struggle to find the same page. How often does Trubisky overthrow Miller or Miller runs the wrong route? Could these things change in 2020 with Matt Nagy changing things up offensively or Nick Foles winning the starting job?

We all know what the key factor for Miller is though, don’t we? He needs to stay healthy. If Miller can keep his shoulder intact for all 16 games, his potential is endless.

Target Round

I have to say I was a little surprised to see Anthony Miller so low in FantasyPros 2020 ECR rankings. Many might be concerned with who is throwing him the ball. Others might be worried about the shoulder. My opinion is biased, but I think year three is the one when we see a drastic uptick for Miller.

FantasyPros has Miller as the 114th overall player and WR45 in 2020. Guys like Darius Slayton and Jamison Crowder are just above Miller on the rankings chart. This makes Miller an eighth or ninth-round pick in a 12-team, half PPR league.

Seeing Miller was WR80 last season, I guess my view of him was more biased than I thought. In fact, in 2018 Miller was still only WR56. The soonest I would consider Miller is the seventh round, but that’s because I see him thriving in 2020.

Ceiling Value

It seems the FantasyPros ranking of WR45 is the right spot for Miller. If he finishes there he’d be hitting his ceiling thus far in his career. However, is that truly his ceiling? I would like to think not. If healthy, I would think Miller’s production goes up in 2020.

In 2018, Miller saw 54 percent of the snaps on offense. He was targeted 54 times. Even with the low numbers, he was able to secure seven touchdowns. Last year his targets jumped to 85 and he saw 64 percent of the snaps on offense. This year his numbers should increase again and if he can find a way to score seven or more touchdowns he will hit a higher ceiling than he ever has thus far.

Miller has the talent to be a top-20 wide receiver in the NFL. Can he put it all together though?

Floor Value

His floor is what he did in 2019. There is no way he falls lower than WR80 unless he sustains another injury keeping him out of games. Miller is too talented. Personally, I think his true floor is closer to WR60, but I expect much more from him.

Buy Low, Sell High or Hold

Anthony Miller would make a great buy-low target. You can probably wrap him up into some trade deal with multiple players. There is no way to sell high on him right now and personally unless you are trading him as a side piece for something great, he is worth holding if you own him already

Miller is a WR3 or flex option with WR2 upside.