As the Chicago Bears 2020 season approaches, where does Mitchell Trubisky’s fantasy football value stand?
The Chicago Bears are my passion, but for a long time my secondary passion surrounding football was fantasy football. Going forward, at this point in the year I am going to start running through players on the Chicago Bears roster and explain what round the player should be drafted, the player’s ceiling value, the player’s floor value and for dynasty fantasy leagues if the player is a buy low or sell high candidate.
Just like Nick Foles, trying to gauge the outlook of Mitchell Trubisky is not easy. Until we know which quarterback wins the starting role, we just have to look at the offense as a whole. The team has a legit WR1 and talented secondary options in Jimmy Graham, Tarik Cohen and Anthony Miller. The additions of David Montgomery last season and Cole Kmet this season should help open up Matt Nagy’s offense.
This means whoever is under center should have a legit chance of breaking Erik Kramer‘s passing yards record. Can you believe that not a single Bears quarterback has thrown for over 4,000 yards in the 100 years of the team’s existence? Jay Cutler had a shot once, but only played 15 of 16 games. As I said in my Foles breakdown, I think Trubisky wins the starting job. I just do not know for sure he will keep it.
FantasyPros is just as confused as the rest of us. They have Nick Foles winning the starting gig but Trubisky is only three spots lower in the quarterback rankings. Trubisky is a tier below Foles though, and that means they, like many, will be putting stock into Foles as the starter.
Just like Foles though, Trubisky is not worth drafting in a 12-team redraft league.
Again, I think Trubisky winds up being the starter come Week 1 of the regular season. If he continues to thrash the Detroit Lions as he has in the past, then he will also be the starter in Week 2. The thing is, I am not sure how long he will hold the job. My hope is forever. Having your second overall draft pick win the starting job and succeed is much better for the team than a journeyman quarterback — even one with a Super Bowl ring and MVP nod.
If Trubisky plays all 16 games, I think he could be a top-15 fantasy quarterback.
Just like Nick Foles, Trubisky’s floor is basically the basement. This would mean he is not able to win the starting job and finds himself riding the bench all season long.
Buy Low, Sell High or Hold
If I were in a dynasty league that I did not already own Trubisky, I would probably try to buy-low on him. Even if he fails to win the starting job in Chicago, I think he finds a job with another team and ends up being more than just a backup. Selling him high is not an option and I am holding him until we see what happens in any fantasy leagues I already own him.