As the Chicago Bears 2020 season approaches, where does Cole Kmet’s fantasy football value stand?
The Chicago Bears are my passion, but for a long time, my secondary passion surrounding football was fantasy football. Going forward, at this point in the year I am going to start running through players on the Chicago Bears roster and explain what round the player should be drafted, the player’s ceiling value, the player’s floor value and for dynasty fantasy leagues if the player is a buy low or sell high candidate.
The outlook for Cole Kmet is bleak from a fantasy perspective. If he is able to prove he can block at the NFL level, Kmet should see decent playing time in 2020. This does not mean it will equate to fantasy points though. If Kmet is able to stay on the field consistently this season, he could see decent targets for a rookie tight end. The Chicago Bears offense plays through the tight end and Kmet was the highest-graded rookie tight end in the 2020 NFL Draft.
FantasyPros has Kmet ranked as the 42nd best fantasy tight end for the 2020 season. Honestly, that seems a little low to me. I think he will be better than that this season. That said, his ranking should not be high enough to be worth drafting in redraft leagues. Instead, put him on your watch list and be ready to grab him if he proves valuable or Jimmy Graham goes down with an injury. Kmet has more value in dynasty leagues where he should be the first tight end taken.
When I think about Kmet’s ceiling value, it is not high enough that he will be able to help a team win a championship. I could see him being valuable enough as a bye week filler, but that is about it. My expectations for Kmet this year is 300 yards receiving and three to four touchdowns.
His floor is very low, unfortunately. Not many rookie tight ends do well in their first season. I am not expecting Kmet to be great. I do expect him to be a valuable football asset for the Chicago Bears though. My prediction for Kmet’s floor is 150 yards and two touchdowns.
Buy Low, Sell High or Hold
Seeing that Kmet is a rookie, not many are going to own him at this point unless you already drafted him or won him in your rookie draft for the 2020 fantasy season. If that’s the case then I cannot imagine many are selling or buying him at this point unless someone offered him as a secondary option in a trade package.