Chicago Bears predicted to lose one top free agent, gain three in 2021

Chicago Bears - Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
Chicago Bears - Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports /
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Chicago Bears, Mackensie Alexander
Chicago Bears – Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports /

The Chicago Bears sign Mackensie Alexander in this predictive offseason

Finally, Pro Football Focus (PFF) has the Chicago Bears signing Mackensie Alexander to a two-year, $6 million dollar contract. Alexander is ranked 80th overall by PFF in their top-100 free agent list. You might be familiar with him as he was a second-round draft pick by the Minnesota Vikings in 2016. This past season he played for the Cincinnati Bengals.

PFF has given Alexander three years of solid coverage grades, including his best year in 2018 with a grade of 72.5. He would be a direct replacement for Buster Skrine who fell off a cliff for the Bears this season. That said, this team cannot count on Duke Shelley on a weekly basis. Skrine should be an automatic cut in 2021 too as he’s scheduled to earn $6.1 million dollars. However, should the Bears cut him, they’ll save nearly $3 million. That money will be needed elsewhere.

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When looking at Alexander’s advanced stats, he has allowed 66.0, 65.5 and 69.6 percent of the passes to be completed when targeted. He however has only allowed quarterbacks to achieve a quarterback rating of 82.1, 84.3 and 81.4 over the last three years. In comparison, Skrine has allowed a 105.1, 91.8 and 125.7 quarterback rating while being targeted. Alexander would be a clear upgrade covering the slot and I would be totally on board with this addition.