5 reasons Chicago Bears expected to land Carson Wentz
1. Play from 2017-2019
You cannot just throw a full season out, but Carson Wentz had the biggest drop off in play from an established starter in NFL history. It is truly baffling how fast and far he fell off. His 2020 was awful and no one can deny it.
However, he was not just a QB with a hot 2017 and poor play after. Injuries ruined his chance to make a name for himself in 2018 and 2019, just like 2017, but Wentz played at a high level in all three seasons.
From 2017-2019 Wentz ranks 12th in ANY/A, 6th in QB rating, 10th in EPA/Play, and 11th in completion rate over expectation. Ok, he is not elite, but that is a big sample of a top 10-12 quarterback in the NFL. The Bears have not had that in a long time.
Trubisky ranked 21st and 20th in EPA/Play and CPOE in that time frame for what it is worth. There is a chance that Wentz is in a bad spot and will be the worst starter in the NFL again. However, there is a bigger sample that says he will be an average to an above-average starter.
Matt Nagy seems to think that is all he needs. Ryan Pace knows that is the easiest path to extending his job another year. When you put the pieces together you have to assume that the Chicago Bears will in fact trade for Carson Wentz.