NFL Prop Bet: Bet on Allen Robinson to explode vs. Bengals

Chicago Bears (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
Chicago Bears (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

If you read our NFL prop bet preview for the LA Rams game, you knew that Allen Robinson was not going to be in line for a big game. He actually found a way to go over his catches prop, hauling in six balls with a total of 5.5. However, he fell well under his yardage prop, as the Chicago Bears wideout had 35 yards, with an over/under of 64.5

However, oddsmakers are expecting Robinson to bounce back, and have bumped his yardage total up to 67.5, even though he failed to beat 64.5 last week. He still is at 5.5 catches for this week.

If you go to Bet Wynn, you can put your money on these props right now. Should you bet on Robinson to go over his NFL Player prop of 67.5 yards, or under?

The biggest difference between Week 1, and Week 2 is going to be who Robinson faces. Jalen Ramsey did not follow Robinson everywhere, but he spent most of his night against the top cornerback in the game. Even Darious Williams is a strong cornerback, and the Rams defense was tops in the NFL last year. With Aaron Donald pushing pockets, short passes and struggles were expected.

Last season the Rams ranked second in the NFL in explosive passes allowed, while the Bengals ranked 29th. Cincinnati has improved their defense, but this is not the Rams unit by any stretch.

Last week, the Vikings had Adam Thielen hit nine catches for 92 yards, and two TDs, while Justin Jefferson had five for 71. He did not go over 5.5 catches, but KJ Osborn had seven receptions for 76 yards, showing that all three cornerback spots were in trouble last week.

Kirk Cousins is better than Andy Dalton, but the upgrade is not huge, and the Vikings’ offensive line may have as many issues like the Bears. It should be a bounce-back for Robinson.

Allen Robinson dominating the slot

Last week, Allen Robinson spent 40% of his snaps in the slot, which was much higher than his 2020 rate. Considering Anthony Miller is out, and the team added outside threats in his place, it would be expected for him to get this much work inside often.

With that in mind, he will be matched up on Mike Hilton, who the Bengals just signed. The Vikings shuffled Adam Thielen into the slot, and Thielen ripped of 56 yards on three receptions against Hilton, including a key fourth-down pass. The size of Thielen vs. Hilton was a mismatch, and Robinson should have that same type of effect.

Beyond that, this game is likely to be a shoot-out. The Bengals bring in three highly skilled wideouts, and the Bears’ secondary is a mess. Robinson caught six passes against a stingy defense and should be in line for at least 10 targets.

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Considering Mike Hilton, and even guys like Eli Apple are not on the same tier as Jalen Ramsey, it is easy to bet on Robinson getting well over seven receptions and turning that into 70 yards or more.