
Hunter Renfrow over 4.5 receptions
This is another one that appears to be rather easy. Hunter Renfrow has gone over 4.5 catches in each game so far this season. He is getting 20% of Derek Carr’s targets, and is creating 23% of their offense.
Beyond that, this is not a good matchup for Chicago. They have had serious issues in the slot, with Duke Shelley typically leading the way. Marqui Christian was torched by Cooper Kupp, but Shelley struggled against Tyler Boyd. The Browns did not do much with Rashard Higgins, but Amon-Ra St. Brown had a career game in the slot against Shelley.
Boyd and Kupp were peppered, and even Jared Goff knew to attack the slot. Renfrow is a favorite target of Carr as is, so to have a great matchup means closer to seven or eight catches, not four or five.