Will the Chicago Bears meet expectations with their win total over/under?

Chicago Bears (Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports)
Chicago Bears (Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports) /

With the Chicago Bears’ win total line being set at 6.5, will they exceed or fail to meet the expectations of Las Vegas casinos and sportsbooks?

Well, last year, their season ended with headlines, angry fans, and an overall record of 6-11.

The Chicago Bears have a similar win total line as last season, should it be higher or lower?

Last year’s win total was 7.5. With an easier schedule than last season’s and some of the last few seasons’ blemishes gone, should it be a shock that the Bears are still projected to have another 50/50 season?

If the Chicago Bears exceed this win total, their record would be 8-9 or better; however, if the win total isn’t met by the Bears, their record would be 7-11 or worse.

Following the 2021 season, the Chicago Bears have lost: Ryan Pace, Matt Nagy, Khalil Mack, Bilal Nichols, Andy Dalton, Eddie Goldman, James Daniels, Danny Trevathan, and many more.

However, since losing all of them, they’ve gained: Ryan Poles (GM), Matt Eberflus (HC), Luke Getsy (OC), Alan Williams (DC), Lucas Patrick, Byron Pringle, Nicholas Morrow, potentially Ryan Bates, and all that’s to come following the 2022 NFL Draft.

While there’s certainly been some losses to this roster and management overall, it’s unsure whether this is an eight-win team.

Home Opponents in 2022

  • Detroit Lions (3-13-1 in 2021)
  • Green Bay Packers* (13-4 in 2021)
  • Minnesota Vikings (8-9 in 2021)
  • Philadelphia Eagles* (9-8 in 2021)
  • Washington Commanders (7-10 in 2021)
  • Buffalo Bills* (11-6 in 2021)
  • Miami Dolphins* (9-8 in 2021)
  • Houston Texans (4-13 in 2021)
  • San Francisco 49ers* (10-7 in 2021)
    * 2021 Playoff team

Away Opponents 2022

  • Detroit Lions (3-13-1 in 2021)
  • Green Bay Packers* (13-4 in 2021)
  • Minnesota Vikings (8-9 in 2021)
  • Dallas Cowboys* (12-5)
  • NY Giants (4-13 in 2021)
  • New England Patriots* (10-7 in 2021)
  • NY Jets (4-13 in 2021)
  • Atlanta Falcons (7-10 in 2021)
    * 2021 Playoff team

Without going into detail on each and every game– considering there’s still quite a bit left to happen between now and the beginning of the 2022 season, should Bears fans expect the Chicago Bears to  exceed that 6.5 win total over/under line?

Overall, they play seven teams next season that were in the 2021 Playoffs. And two of those games are against the common opponent of the Green Bay Packers.

However, the non-Playoff teams that Chicago plays are some of the lower-tier teams of the league.

Between the Lions, Giants, Jets, Falcons, Texans, Commanders, and Vikings, there are nine games against teams with losing records. And while the Bears also live in the neighborhood of losing-record teams, there’s a lot of potential with the new regime of front office and coaching staff; and after the NFL Draft and off season conclude, the Bears could have a lot of their previous holes filled, making them a potential playoff team.

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That’s all speculative and potentially on the optimistic side, but– for the first time in a while– things are looking up for the Chicago Bears. If that “looking up” means more than seven wins, who’s to say?