A way for the Chicago Bears to land Chris Olave in the 2022 NFL Draft
Now, to regain draft capital, the Chicago Bears must trade back from pick No. 48
We all know that Ryan Poles wants draft capital. It is important to understand that capital does not always mean more picks. The quality of those picks is important. This is why teams have created a value designation for each pick in the draft. The first trade shows a very even return for both teams. Pick No. 24 has a value of 740 points. Pick No. 39 has a value of 510 and pick No. 48 has a value of 235 for a total value of 745. Should it be 25 or 26 in the draft, then we are looking at values of 720 and 700.
If we look at the value of pick No. 48, the Chicago Bears have 420 points to work with. If they were to find a trade partner that brings in two top 100 picks, then they should start with San Francisco who owns both picks No. 62 (284 points) and 93 (128 points). As you can see, the total is exactly 420 points. This leaves the Chiefs, Bengals, and Broncos as teams to push for a trade. The Bengals’ second and third-round picks total a value of 396 and the Broncos’ total 386 and the Chiefs’ total 408.
Let us assume this is the trade that takes place — giving the Chicago Bears the most value in return. Next, let’s see how the picks turn out by using a mock draft simulator. Let it be known that I ran the simulator 50 times and Chris Olave only fell to the range we are discussing 11 times.
As you can see, it is possible, but the odds are not in the Bears’ favor should they plan on making a trade up to this range should Olave fall. Out of those 11 simulations, these are the names that I would choose at each pick (61 and 93) based on my analysis and the number of times they appeared:
"Pick No. 61: Nicholas Petit-Frere, OT – Ohio State Pick No. 93: Cole Strange, IOL – Chattanooga"
This outcome gives the Chicago Bears Chris Olave, a potential starting left tackle in Nicholas Petit-Frere and an interior offensive lineman who has the ability to plug-and-play as the starting right guard. If you cannot get behind those three picks, picks that would have been 39, 48 and 71 anyway, then I don’t know what you are expecting from this draft. I could not picture a better scenario without playing Madden and conducting the NFL Draft myself.
By the way, other names to consider at 61 were Zach Tom (OL), Nick Cross (S), Chad Muma (LB), Luke Goedeke (OL), Perrion Winfrey (IDL) and Darian Kinnard (OL). Names to consider at 93 overall were Kerby Joseph (S), Max Mitchell (OL), Alec Pierce (WR), Cam Jurgens (OL), Dohnovan West (OL), Khalil Shakir (WR), Alontae Taylor (CB) and Ed Ingram (OL).
Can the Chicago Bears find the two necessary teams to trade with for this to happen? We shall see in less than two days.