3 over/unders for Justin Jones with Chicago Bears

2. Over or Under 2.5 sacks

Justin Jones went through three seasons with just 1.5 sacks. Last season, he double his entire career total with three sacks on the year. That is part of what helped him get a contract from Chicago, as his first few years were not going to get him much of a contract at all.

Still, now the question comes down to whether or not he can build on that season, or if it was a bit of an aberration, and he is much more of a run defender who can get a clean-up sack or two.

Last season Jones had a 6.2% pressure rate as well. That is much higher than his 4.5% pressure rate in 2020, which was at 5.5% the year before. Still, his rookie season, when he had zero sacks actually had a 6.5% pressure rate.

For his career, he is at 5.6%, which is probably a fair suggestion for him to fall to after such a strong season. With 4.5 sacks in three years on a 5.6% pressure rate, it is tough to say that he can get 3 sacks on the same rate next season.

Last season he had an extra sack that he maybe should have gotten as a rookie due to his pressure rate. Still, over the four years of his career, a two-sack-per-year pace is probably right, so we will lean under on this one.