5 David Montgomery Over/Unders for Chicago Bears in 2022

2. Over/Under 330 receiving yards

As a rookie, Montgomery only had 185 yards receiving. Then, in year two, he was over 450 yards before just barely being over 300 yards in his third NFL season. On average, he is at 308 yards, with a peak year, and a low year.

Despite going under for his catches, we can still make the case for the over on yards.

ESPN currently has him at 7.3 yards per catch, but at his career rate, he is at 7.6. Even if you keep his receptions at 43, which is where we projected, he would be at 327 yards at his career rate. That is under, but just by three yards, which does provide upside to be easier over than receptions.

As noted, even though Montgomery had fewer catches in 2021, he was starting to get used a lot more in the passing game towards the end of the season. While we have been negative most of the time, it is easier to see him slightly improve on his yards per catch, and thus, go over on yards even without going over on receptions. If you lean to his second and third years over his rookie year, it is certain he will go over.