Realistic draft trade starting points for the Chicago Bears first-overall pick

The Seattle Seahawks could be an interesting trade partner for the Chicago Bears

The Seattle Seahawks are one team that no one really knows what to think. The team could stay at five and take the best player available. The team could move up a few spots and take one of the top three quarterbacks. Hell, the Seahawks could be interested in moving from five to the top pick in the draft. I’m not going to try and convince you that they are going to move up for a quarterback or for Will Anderson. Honestly, with Pete Carroll as the head coach, I could see it going either way.

Bryce Young could be the new Russell Wilson (similar size too) for the Seahawks, or they pay Geno Smith who is coming off a career year. Smith threw for over 4,200 yards, 30 touchdowns, and only 11 interceptions. The problem though is that he’s never showcased it before and now he will be 33 years old and needs a new contract. Will the Seahawks give him big money and still trade up from five to one for the likes of Will Anderson? Doubtful if I’m being honest. I’d see it more for Young than Anderson if I were to take a guess, but I just don’t see it for either.

If they trade up to the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, here’s what the Chicago Bears might receive from the Seahawks.

If we break this down using both charts, here is how the two sides work out. The Chicago Bears have to give up more than just the first-overall pick in this one. They also are sending a future third-round pick in the deal. This puts the points total for Seattle at 3,092 (3,000+92) on the Jimmy Johnson model and 1,034 (1,000+34) on the Rich Hill model. The Chicago Bears would see a net return of 3,210 points (1,700+530+390+590) on the Johnson model and 926 points (468+162+112+184) on the Hill model.

As you can see, these aren’t perfect models as the Bears come ahead on some and lose on others even though they are the same trades.