Bears vs. Lions prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 11

Breaking down the best betting odds and prediction for NFL Week 11 action between the Bears and Lions.

Nov 9, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears tight end Cole Kmet (85) runs after a catch
Nov 9, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears tight end Cole Kmet (85) runs after a catch / Daniel Bartel-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Bears are fresh off a win against the Carolina panthers and will now face the Detroit Lions twice in their next three games including this Sunday at 1pm et.

The Bears have a chance to play spoiler against their NFC North rivals for the rest of the season and if they're able to pull off the win this weekend, it'd be one of the bigger upsets of the season.

Check out this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets" for my best bet for all 14 NFL Week 11 games.

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Bears vs. Lions odds, spread, and total

Bears vs. Lions betting trends

  • Bears are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the Bears' last five games
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. Bears
  • Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. NFC North opponents
  • Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games
  • Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games
  • Lions are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC opponents

Bears vs. Lions injury reports

Chicago Bears injury report

  • Justin Fields - QB - Questionable
  • Terell Smith - CB - Questionable
  • Nate Davis - G - Questionable
  • Tremaine Edmunds - LB - Questionable
  • Khari Blasingame - FB - Questionable

Detroit Lions injury report

  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson - S - IR
  • Halapoulivaati Vaitai - G - IR
  • Levi Onwuzurike - DE - Questionable
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones - WR - Questionable

Bears vs. Lions how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, November 19
  • Game Time: 1:00 pm EST
  • Venue: Ford Field
  • How to Watch (TV): FOX
  • Chicago Bears Record: 3-7
  • Detroit Lions Record: 7-2

Bears vs. Lions key players to watch

Chicago Bears

Justin Fields: Reports indicate that Justin Fields is expected to return to the Bears lineup as their starting quarterback this weekend. If that's true, he has seven games to prove he can be the starting quarterback for this team moving forward. If he doesn't the Bears are likely going to take a quarterback with a top pick in the draft.

Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown: The Bears have a fantastic run defense, so if the Lions wants to beat this team, throwing the ball is going to be their best path to doing so. St. Brown has 65 receptions and 821 receiving yards on the season already. Expect him to build on that on Sunday.

Bears vs. Lions prediction and pick

I'm going to back the Bears to beat the Lions in the upset of the week.

Do I think the Bears are the better team? Absolutely not, but I think there are some makings of an upset when you look at the underlying numbers in this game. First of all the Lions' defense has been a below-average unit at best this season, ranking in the bottom half of the NFL in EPA/Play, opponent success rate, and opponent yards per play.

Let's also give some props to Chicago. After being a complete dumpster fire early in the season, the Bears are quietly becoming an average team in the league. They're 10th in the NFL in Net Yards per Play over their last three games. A big part of that has been thanks to their defense which has allowed 4.7 yards per play over that stretch, the seventh-best mark over each team's last three games.

Fortune favors the bold. Let's take the Bears to win outright.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!