Trevis Gipson career trajectory with Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears former fifth-round pick Trevis Gipson has had an up-and-down career. That can be highlighted by the reality that he went from zero sacks, up to seven and back down to three sacks in three seasons.
When trying to project out what Trevis Gipson could be, we used sports-reference to find similar comparisons in NFL history. The following players have had a similar start to their careers and even were drafted in a similar slot.
These players give us a historical baseline for what we could expect from Trevis Gipson moving forward. We see that there is still a floor and ceiling in his ability. He had a similar start to someone like Anthony Zettel, and by year four Zettel was out of the NFL
Looking upward, there is Alex Okafor and Sam Acho. The two former Texas Longhorns had nine-year careers Acho peaked at seven sacks over that time, and Okafor peaked at five. Both of them remained in the NFL as depth rushers.
There are also three players in the midst of their current careers, but looking to be in similar roles. John Franklin-Myers is in year four, Jacob Martin is in year six, and Samson Ebukam is in year seven. All of them are on track to play for multiple more years. JFM and Ebukam peaked at five sacks while Martin peaked at four.
Finally, we have the stars. Despite similar starts to their career, and going on day three of their draft class, both Za'Darius Smith and Josh Sweat managed to get big contract extensions. Sweat is currently in year five, and had 18.5 sacks over the past two seasons. Smith broke out in year four as well. He had 8.5 sacks in year four and then had his two best seasons in years five and six. So, for anyone writing off Trevis Gipson, there is the case of Smith and Sweat to point to as year four breakouts.
On average, this group hit 4.5 sacks in their fourth season, with Smith leading the way at 8.5. it is fair to say that if Smith does not hit 4.5 sacks next season, then he will not see that Sweat or Smith type of career arch. He could still be destined for the depth option who plays a long time in the NFL, as that appears to be the most likely outcome. Then, there is the slim chance that he busts out of the NFL as we saw with Anthony Zettel.