Bears vs Browns Prediction: Preseason Week 4 Madden Simulation

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It’s the preseason for Bear Goggles On too, and we’re trying out a new segment: using  a Madden 11 simulation to predict the games.  Check it out and tell us what works, what doesn’t work, what we could do to improve the segment.  I’ve got to give big props to Sam, his predication for the Chargers game was pretty damn close: he predicted 34-10 Chargers and the game turned out to be 25-10 Chargers but after missing on his Bears-Raiders prediction he bounced back with a pretty accurate prediction for the Bears falling to the Cardinals.

By my count, Sam is 2-1 in the preseason, which is more than I can say for the 0-3 Bears.   Oh wait, I forgot, these don’t count so I guess our record is still 0-0.  Lovie’s starting to get to me too I guess!

*Note, the sim was run before Brian Urlacher and Jay Cutler were officially ruled out of Thursday night’s preseason finale against the Browns.

We all know that the most meaningless of the meaningless preseason games is the last preseason game.  The starters will play a series (if at all) and the biggest focus is getting out injury free.  There’s been a lot of hand wringing about the 0-3 start and Bears fans are desperate for any kind of win to get even a smidge of confidence before the Detroit game in Week 1.  I’m afraid our Madden sim prediction doesn’t show that to be the case.

It didn’t start off well for the Bears with the Browns opening up a 17-0 halftime lead behind a pair of short TD runs and a Phil Dawson FG.  I guess the Bears can’t fool the Madden simulator.

But there were big plays to be had for the Beloved.  In the 4th quarter Chester Taylor popped for a short 7 yard TD run:

But the biggest surprise of the night came on a Dan LeFevour to Rashied Davis 77-yard bomb:

I know it’s just a simulator, but Rashied Davis isn’t running away from anybody!

Even with those big plays, it’s just not enough for the Bears to get past the Browns 24-14.   It’s not looking good for the Bears on the simulator or in real life.  But the real action starts in just over a week when they start keeping score for real.  Here’s a breakdown of the game and the preseason.

Bears 14 Browns 24

Scoring Summary

1st Quarter

(CLE) P. Dawson 43 yd FG

2nd Quarter

(CLE) M. Hardesty 2 yd run (Dawson Kick)
(CLE) J. Harrison 4 yd run (Dawson Kick)

4th Quarter

(CHI) C. Taylor 7 yd run (Gould Kick)
(CHI) R. Davis 77yd pass from LeFevour (Gould Kick)
(CLE) M. Hardesty 84 yd run (Dawson Kick)

Passing

Bears
D. LeFevour 9-15 147yds 9.8avg 1 TD 0 INT Rating 115.1
J.Cutler 6-9 24yds 2.6 avg 0 TD 0 INT Rating 70.1

Browns
J.Delhomme 7-11 104 Yds 9.4 avg 0 TD 0 INT Rating 94.5
S. Wallace 6- 8 63yds 7.8 avg 0 TD 1 INT Rating 57.8

Rushing

Bears
M.Forte 8 carries 31 yds 3.8 avg 0 TD
C.Taylor 8 carries 34 yds 4.2 avg 1 TD

Browns
M. Hardesty 11 carries 131 yds 11.9 avg 2 TD
J.Harrison 9 carries 55 yds 6.1 avg 1 TD

Receiving

Bears
R.Davis 3 rec 95 yds 31.6 avg 1 TD
M Forte 3 rec 9 yds 3.0 avg 0 TD
B. Manumaleuna 2 rec 22 yds 11.0 avg 0 TD

Browns
B. Robiskie 4 rec 56 yds 14.0 avg 0 TD
M. Massaquoi 2 rec 31 yds 15.5 avg 0 TD
B.Watson 2 rec 21 yds 10.5 avg 0 TD

Bears Defensive MVP

B.Urlacher 7 solo tackles 2 assists 2 tackles for loss and 1.0 sack

Browns Defensive MVP

K. Coleman 2 solo tackles 2 tackles for loss and 2.0 sacks

Final NFC North Preseaon Standings

Vikings 2-2-0 101 PF 105 PA
Packers 2-2-0 79 PF 71 PA
Bears 1-3-0 75 PF 85 PA
Lions 0-3-1 60 PF 91 PA

I can’t thank my new buddy Sam for his help with the Madde sims.   Follow Sam on Twitter @samgoody14 and tell him if you can do better.

BEAR DOWN!!!

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