Let me put this out there before I even write this post. The cost of a quarterback can be priceless if you get it right. It does not matter, and nobody can read to you what the Patrick Mahomes deal was, or how the Bills got Josh Allen. They just know it happened and they are happy.
So, the Chicago Bears have to have that mentality with Justin Fields. Still, it is worth wondering how much the team gave up to move up nine picks. According to the Jimmy Johnson trade chart, the 11th overall pick is worth 1250 points. Pick 20 is worth 850 points. It would take 400 points to move up.
While it is not much, a fifth this year adds 26 points. Still, to get over the top, you could say the Bears need 400 points to move up.
Looking at the 32nd overall pick, it is valued at 590 points this year. So, if the Chicago Bears had pick 32 this season, they should be able to use that to get up. Of course, they may not be picking 32nd next season, and that pick could end up being pretty high. Justin Fields is a rookie after all.
If the Bears needed just 400 points, and pick 32 is worth 590, a higher pick would be paying a bit much, no? Pick 52 is worth 380 points. If you add in the future fourth and 2021 fifth, does that get the job done?
To start, the Bears likely wanted to keep their second-round pick this year to help Justin Fields on the offensive side of the ball. So, if their second-round pick was not quite worth it and needed more, then a 2022 second is worth even less.
The Bears were in a spot where they either had to trade their second this season or their first next season. Either is a tough decision, but of course, New York likely wanted the first next season. It may have been an overpay, but when you are trading future assets they are devalued a bit.
Still, if that pick turns out to be top 15 or so, that is worth over 1,000 points. If you take off 200 just for it being a year out, that is still 400 points more than the 11th pick is worth. Then, they threw in a fifth and fourth.
On paper, they overpaid. Of course, the game is not won on paper and the Bears were in a particular situation where they were desperate. Pace knew he needed to do something this year, he knew losing a second this year would hurt and knew that if he failed, he would not have the pick he lost anyways. It is an all-in move, and an aggressive one, but Ryan Pace was always likely to make one.