The Chicago Bears will be exploring a trade down from the number one pick in the next coming month or two. Plenty of teams will have interest, but there are a few questions the team must answer before they make the move.
First, they have to decide how far back they want to drop. There does become a point where you drop too far and lose value. Beyond that, how much can they add for the drop? One team that will be interested in the top pick is the Houston Texans. What would it take for them to move up?
What Houston Texans could trade Chicago Bears to move to number one overall
This could be a great fit for both sides. The Houston Texans need to a quarterback and getting to number one overall secures that. The Chicago Bears would only be trading down to number two, and they know a quarterback is going, so they can still get the best non-passer of the draft.
The question comes down to compensation. In recent history, there have been two occasions when a top-five pick was moved, and the team trading down just dropped one spot.
Of course, we all remember the Chicago Bears moving up one spot to draft Mitch Trubisky. Beyond that, in 2012 the Cleveland Browns traded up one spot from third overall to fourth to nab Trent Richardson.
While neither was the number one overall pick, the Bears’ situation did involve a quarterback. Beyond that, both situations had the implied idea that the pick was a hot trade target, so the compensation may not be too far off.
The Minnesota Vikings added a 4th round pick, a 5th-round pick, and a 7th-round pick to move down one spot. The picks were 118, 139, and 211. The San Francisco 49ers picked up a 3rd round pick, a future 3rd round pick, and a fourth-round pick. Those picks wound up being 67, 70, and 111.
It is obvious here that the need for a quarterback over a running and the pick being number two, and not number three did play an impact. So, while the Chicago Bears may get a similar package, it could also be fair to expect a little bit more than what they traded to get Mitch Trubisky.
The Texans own pick 65, and they own pick 73 from the Cleveland Browns. That, plus pick 104, their fourth-round pick could what does it. Or, 65, 104, and a future draft pick or two.
Most fans want a future first or something of that nature, but that is unlikely. For the Houston Texans to move up one spot, the highest they would offer would probably be a future second-round pick.
Still, pick 65 or 73 is sitting there, and that would help the sting of losing 32 for Chase Claypool. Starting a package of two or three picks around the 65th pick may be what starts conversations between the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans.