This is the expectation that Bears fans should have for Caleb Williams' first season

The Chicago Bears, the media, the fans, everyone has lofty expectations for Caleb Willams during his rookie season. So, while he may do what is expected of a rookie, it may end up as a disappointment to some because of who he is, and the wide receivers he will play with. 

So, before we get too far out of hand, what is a baseline stat line expectation for Williams?

What are expectations for Caleb Williams' rookie season with the Chicago Bears?

Since 2011, there have been 24 rookie quarterbacks drafted in the top ten of the NFL draft to throw at least 200 pass attempts. We would assume that Williams will push the list to 25 this year. 

Of those, they average 272 completions on 453 pass attempts. That is a 60% completion rate. These rookies also average 3,060 yards, with 16 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. That is a 3.5% touchdown rate and a 2.5% interception rate. 

If you bump the number of attempts from 200 to 400, the list drops to 16 players. Of those, the rookies average 309 completions of 512 attempts, which is still a 60% completion rate. These rookies are averaging 3,478 yards per season, with 18 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. So, this is not a lot better, but the expectation is that Williams would throw more than 400 passes, so these numbers may be more in line with what we want to expect. 

Those are not lofty numbers, but as we noted, not many rookies will be put in the situation Williams sees during his rookie year. More than that, being a rookie in the NFL is usually challenging. There are going to be bumps in the road, regardless of what situation he is in. Fans should not get bent out of shape if he throws 12 interceptions during his rookie season and does not throw 20 touchdowns. However, it is fair to aim to the higher side of average in the case of Williams.