Justin Fields best bet to win Offensive-Rookie-of-the-Year despite Nagy

Chicago Bears - Credit: Jon Durr-USA TODAY Sports
Chicago Bears - Credit: Jon Durr-USA TODAY Sports /

The Chicago Bears were very lucky to have found a way to move up from 20th-overall in the 2021 NFL Draft to 11th in order to draft Justin Fields. Fields has looked every bit the part of a first-round quarterback prospect who has the potential to become a star in this league.

After two preseason games, we saw what looked like an elite Justin Fields versus the Miami Dolphins and we saw a player making something out of nothing versus the Buffalo Bills. I am a Mitch Trubisky stan and I loved watching what he could do with Brian Daboll calling the plays. Daboll used Trubisky’s strengths to his advantage and ran plays that limited his decision-making, upped the tempo and Trubisky got the ball out quickly. When plays broke down, he extended them.

Even after watching him, I still would much rather have Justin Fields in a Chicago Bears uniform. Even when Trubisky was at his best, he is nothing more than an above-average quarterback. Justin Fields on the other hand has the tools to be much better. He already passes the eye test and as someone who said the game was slow to him after the Dolphins game, he sure makes it look slow on film too. I know he’s going against second, third and fourth-stringers, but he’s just so fast.

Not only is he fast, but his processing skills are also quick too. He has poise and confidence while playing that you just did not see often enough with Mitch Trubisky. Justin Fields is going to have a great career, I just hope that he lasts forever here in Chicago.

Justin Fields has the second-best odds to win Offensive-Rookie-of-the-Year

The Chicago Bears are not high on very many betting odds lists. You will not find them as a favorite to win the NFC North. You will not find them as a favorite to score the most points in the regular season. You will not find any of their players as a favorite to win the AP MVP either.

What you will be able to do is find Justin Fields as one of the favorites to win Offensive-Rookie-of-the-Year (OROTY). WynnBet currently has Justin Fields with the second-best odds to win OROTY behind Trevor Lawrence with a +525 odds (bet $100 to win $525). In comparison, Lawrence has +275 odds. With Lawrence a lock to start the regular season as the Jaguars starting quarterback, this gives Justin Fields an advantage. However, Fields has a better situation than Lawerence.

With the current odds, I find it hard not to take Justin Fields over Lawrence. Even if Andy Dalton starts the season under center, I don’t think it will take long before a switch is made. Justin Fields will have plenty of time to prove that he deserves to be the OROTY over the likes of Lawrence. The closest player to Fields in terms of odds is a tie between Zach Wilson, QB and Najee Harris, RB. Both of these players have odds of +600.

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Betting on Harris is not a good idea based on the current quarterback class in my opinion. There are for sure two rookie quarterbacks slotted to start Week 1 (Lawrence and Wilson). Then you have Justin Fields, Trey Lance and Mac Jones all pushing to start earlier rather than later. Since this is a quarterback league, I would expect one of these five to win OROTY this season and I’m surprised to see Harris with such good odds. Especially with Ben Roethlisberger’s recent injury history.

Over the last ten years, we have seen five quarterbacks win OROTY, four running backs and one wide receiver. Over the last five years, we have seen three quarterbacks and two running backs. Alvin Kamar won in 2017 but had Deshaun Watson played the whole season and didn’t suffer his knee injury, there was a good chance Watson would have won. Patrick Mahomes only played one game and well, we all saw what Trubisky did in his limited season — not enough.

Andy Dalton is going to start Week 1 versus the Rams, but I do not believe that he will last as the Chicago Bears starting quarterback for long. Instead, I think Justin Fields will force Matt Nagy’s hand and push to start. Not only that, he has the skills to succeed despite Matt Nagy’s incompetent play calling.

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If Jason Peters can secure the left tackle spot and Germain Ifedi returns to play in Week 1, then Justin Fields will have a very good situation here in Chicago. Definitely a better situation than both Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson. This is why he’s a good bet for OROTY this season.